Muswellbrook best bets and tips


Horse Racing: Winx trainer Chris Waller says his mare’s performance was simply “unbelievable”

brad Davidson has given his best bets for the Muswellbrook meet.

LIGHT rain around Muswellbrook will make for a wet track on Thursday.

Brad Davidson looks at the contenders and offers his best bets.

NOTE: Races are assessed for a Soft 7. All horses are considered starters unless notified. (N/R) denotes no rating.

Race 1

5. Roman Typhoon did plenty wrong in a recent Scone trial but he showed a good turn of foot when getting clear to win easily. 4. Matchfox won a recent Gosford trial but was pushed out, while 10. I Am Twisted has race fitness on her side and was beaten less than two lengths second-up.

Betting strategy: Roman Typhoon to win.

Race 2

3. Libertine Miss was outclassed in a Provincial Championships Qualifier last start but she clocked quicker overall time than 4. Kevacca’s Girl when they raced in separate races at Cessnock on February 14. She has only won the one from 21 starts and that’s the knock. Kevacca’s Girl looks the danger and she was pretty dominant last start albeit her winning time wasn’t great. 8. Sweet Holly is always thereabouts, while 2. Motivate can improve here.

Betting strategy: Libertine Miss to win.

Muswellbrook races might be a tad wet on Thursday.

Muswellbrook races might be a tad wet on Thursday.Source:News Corp Australia

Race 3

6. Trust Me wasn’t beat far in the rich Magic Millions Maiden in January and has been kept up to the mark with a recent Wyong trial win. He has come up with a tricky gate but has early speed and this looks his race. 12. Old Friends has finished in the minor placings at her past two starts and she is another one who will go forward and make her own luck. 4. Nevado Mo won a recent Warwick Farm trial and looks next best, while 9. Meteor In Sight has claims from the good draw.

Betting strategy: Trust Me to win.

Race 4

Looks a nice race for 3. Dalmatia Prince who went super in a Highway race in this distance range at Canterbury two back and then had a setback before his last run when disappointing. Freshened and his recent trial was solid. 5. Our Chad is super consistent and should be thereabouts first-up, while 4. Zijin Cheng will be better for the first-up run. 1. Bend It Like Benny is in the same boat.

Betting strategy: Dalmatia Prince to win.

Race 5

8. Refuge Bay comes up with a tricky gate but his two runs this time in have been good and the step up to 1450m looks ideal. 7. Sneaky Glance has started in the market at both runs to date and he was disappointing on face value at Cessnock first-up but can improve sharply. 2. Mistress Rose has finished runner-up at her past two starts and she just has to run out the 1450m to go close. 3. The Big Sleep looks next best.

Betting strategy: Refuge Bay to win.

Race 6

3. Lippy And Pearls didn’t handle the heavy track in Sydney last start but her win before that was full of merit. She just needs to run out the 1750m to go close here. 6. As Good As It Gets ran on strongly first-up and the extra 150m won’t bother him. He has more upside than most of these. 2. Packen won well at Quirindi last start and will be flashing home, while 4. Crown Moss isn’t the worst either.

Betting strategy: Lippy And Pearls to win.

brad Davidson has given his best bets for the Muswellbrook meet.

brad Davidson has given his best bets for the Muswellbrook meet.Source:News Limited

Race 7

3. Exitozo’s two runs back from a spell have both been good and he might be looking for the 1500m now. Drawn well and should get every chance. 4. Net Effect wasn’t far away first-up and looks the danger, while 5. Flaming Commodity looks next best. 6. Element Of Luck has only won the two from 30 but her recent form is good enough for a race like this.

Betting strategy: Exitozo to win.

Race 8

3. Gone Viral’s only win come over this trip and he will be nice and fresh for the short course today. 7. Sweet Lyrical is only coming out of maiden grade but she has only had the three starts and has plenty of upside. 10. Accessory Diva gets a fair way back in her races but she made good ground the other day. 2. Felicette and 5. Emo Girl look next best in a tricky race to finish the day.

Betting strategy: Gone Viral to win.

BEST BETS

BEST BET: TRUST ME (Race 3, No.6)

Wasn’t beat far in the rich Magic Millions Maiden in January and has been kept up to the mark with a recent Wyong trial win. He has come up with a tricky gate but has early speed.

NEXT BEST: Dalmatia Prince (Race 4, No.3)

Looks a nice race for Dalmatia Prince who went super in a Highway race in this distance range at Canterbury two back and then had a setback before his last run when disappointing. Freshened and his recent trial was solid.

TRIAL TIP: Roman Typhoon (Race 1, No.5)

Did plenty wrong in a recent Scone trial but he showed a good turn of foot when getting clear to win easily. Can win on debut.

HARD TO BEAT: Libertine Miss (Race 2, No.3)

She was outclassed in a Provincial Championships Qualifier last start but she clocked quicker overall time than Kevacca’s Girl when they raced in separate races at Cessnock on February 14. Looks suited today.

READY TO WIN: Refuge Bay (Race 5, No.8)

Comes up with a tricky gate but her two runs this time in have been good and the step up to 1450m looks ideal.

CAN BOUNCE BACK: Lippy And Pearls (Race 6, No.3)

She didn’t handle the heavy track in Sydney last start but her win before that was full of merit. She just needs to run out the 1750m to go close here.

Originally published as Muswellbrook best bets and tips